Wisconsin cigarette sales decline in 2022 was largest in a decade

The number of cigarette packs sold in Wisconsin dipped below 200 million in fiscal 2022 as the state saw the largest year-over-year decline in sales in a decade, according to data from the state Department of Revenue.

While Wisconsin received 4.3% of all taxes collected from cigarettes in fiscal 2010, that figure dropped to 2% in fiscal 2022, according to a recent Wisconsin Policy Forum brief.

The state collected $482.4 million in cigarette tax revenue on 192.9 million packs in fiscal 2022, down from $644.3 million on 273.5 million packs in fiscal 2010. Revenues peaked in 2010 following a series of tax increases and before the implementation of an indoor smoking ban.

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Cigarette sales have generally trended downward in recent years, although there were increases of 0.7% in fiscal 2014 and fiscal 2016. There was also a 1.8% increase in fiscal 2020. The state was trending toward a 0.9% decrease during the first eight months of fiscal 2020, but saw a 7.8% increase in the final four months over the year amidst the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The downward trend returned in fiscal 2021 with a 2.6% decrease and then a 5.4% decrease in fiscal 2022. The decline from 2021 to 2022 was the largest year-over-year change since fiscal 2011. The decline brought sales below 200 million packs for the first time in available data. Sales are now down 54% from the more than 419 million packs sold in the state in 2001.

On a per capita basis, cigarette sales in the state have fallen from 77.7 per person in fiscal 2001 to 32.4 in fiscal 2022, according to the Wisconsin Policy Forum report.

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The Wisconsin Policy Forum report attributes the decline to a number of factors ranging from tax increases and changes in federal, state and local policies to public health messaging to growing use of substitute products.

Wisconsin introduced a 5 cent per milliliter tax on vapor products, which are among the growing number of substitute products for cigarettes. The state collected $4.1 million in vapor tax revenue in fiscal 2022, up from $1.6 million in fiscal 2021.

For the first five months of fiscal 2023, vapor revenues are running almost 54% higher than fiscal 2022.

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